How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Politics

What countries will Trump say in September?

Live Kalshi odds · 39 outcomesMultiple can happen

Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian99%

Mexico / Mexican99%

North Korea / North Korean99%

Panama / Panamanian99%

UAE / United Arab Emirates76%

South Korea / South Korean75%

India / Indian71%

Norway / Norwegian71%

Argentina / Argentinian70%

Kuwait / Kuwaiti69%

Somalia / Somali66%

Italy / Italian65%

Afghanistan / Afghan63%

Bahrain / Bahraini63%

Poland / Polish62%

Congo / Congolese60%

Turkey / Turkish52%

Brazil / Brazilian49%

Australia / Australian40%

South Africa / South African37%

Switzerland / Swiss35%

Colombia / Colombian30%

Japan / Japanese0%

United Kingdom / British0%

Hungary / Hungarian0%

Belgium / Belgian0%

Sudan / Sudanese0%

Iceland / Icelandic0%

Ireland / Irish0%

Paraguay / Paraguayan0%

Jamaica / Jamaican0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1810%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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