What are the current odds for What will Trump say this month??

Zohran / Mamdani 99%, Cognitive 99%, Predict / Prediction 99%, Autism 99%, Pelosi 99%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say this month?

Live Kalshi odds · 29 outcomesMultiple can happen

▼11Biggest move: Fat shot / Ozempic down to 16% recently.

Zohran / Mamdani99%

Cognitive99%

Predict / Prediction99%

Who are you with / Where are you from99%

Moon99%

Space Force99%

Golden Age99%

Palestine / Palestinian99%

Kamala99%

Third Term▲1040%

Newscum▼135%

Peace in the Middle East▼323%

Fat shot / Ozempic▼1116%

Gulf of America▼916%

UFO / UAP▲112%

Nine War / Ninth War▼510%

Make Iran Great Again▼42%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1867%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 90% of the time (n=519). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 9 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Zohran / Mamdani at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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