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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Live Kalshi odds · 16 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Nepal99%
2
Trump (5+ times)99%
3
NATO99%
4
ICE99%
5
Iran (3+ times)99%
6
Moon99%
7
Pentagon99%
8
Warsh99%
9
Tornado1%
10
Los Angeles1%
11
Meta / Facebook / Instagram1%
12
China / Chinese1%
13
Prince Harry / Meghan Markle1%
14
FDA1%
15
Norway1%
16
Bernie1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 800%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=678). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Nepal at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG28">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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