Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 13, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
31Biggest move: Above $83.99 down to 20% recently.
1
Above $75.4999%
2
Above $76.9999%
3
Above $77.9999%
4
Above $78.99599%
5
Above $75.9998%
6
Above $79.991098%
7
Above $76.4997%
8
Above $78.4997%
9
Above $77.4996%
10
Above $79.49496%
11
Above $80.491095%
12
Above $80.991091%
13
Above $81.49987%
14
Above $81.99468%
15
Above $82.49762%
16
Above $82.991645%
17
Above $83.492432%
18
Above $83.993120%
19
Above $84.492711%
20
Above $84.992510%
21
Above $85.99179%
22
Above $86.49158%
23
Above $85.49295%
24
Above $87.4995%
25
Above $87.995%
26
Above $88.9943%
27
Above $89.492%
28
Above $89.9932%
29
Above $86.99171%
30
Above $88.4981%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1540%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 85% of the time (n=199). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 14 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $75.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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