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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 24, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $79.4999%
2
Above $79.9997%
3
Above $80.9997%
4
Above $81.9996%
5
Above $81.4995%
6
Above $82.4994%
7
Above $82.9993%
8
Above $83.4991%
9
Above $83.9988%
10
Above $84.4984%
11
Above $84.9978%
12
Above $85.4970%
13
Above $85.9962%
14
Above $86.4956%
15
Above $86.9946%
16
Above $87.4939%
17
Above $87.9933%
18
Above $88.4928%
19
Above $88.9926%
20
Above $89.4922%
21
Above $89.9918%
22
Above $90.4914%
23
Above $90.9912%
24
Above $91.499%
25
Above $91.998%
26
Above $92.494%
27
Above $92.994%
28
Above $80.490%
29
Above $93.490%
30
Above $93.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1463%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 90% of the time (n=459). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 9 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $79.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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