Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 31, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
70Biggest move: Above $84.49 up to 82% recently.
1
Above $75.4999%
2
Above $75.99299%
3
Above $76.49299%
4
Above $76.99299%
5
Above $77.49299%
6
Above $77.99399%
7
Above $78.49299%
8
Above $78.99499%
9
Above $79.49499%
10
Above $79.99399%
11
Above $80.49599%
12
Above $81.491399%
13
Above $81.992499%
14
Above $74.4997%
15
Above $80.99897%
16
Above $82.493097%
17
Above $82.994197%
18
Above $74.99396%
19
Above $83.494486%
20
Above $84.497082%
21
Above $83.995481%
22
Above $84.996169%
23
Above $85.495558%
24
Above $85.992935%
25
Above $86.49714%
26
Above $87.4949%
27
Above $86.9948%
28
Above $87.9927%
29
Above $88.494%
30
Above $88.993%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2227%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $75.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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