Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 20, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
26Biggest move: Above $80.49 up to 92% recently.
1
Above $70.4999%
2
Above $70.9999%
3
Above $71.4999%
4
Above $71.9999%
5
Above $72.49199%
6
Above $72.99199%
7
Above $73.4998%
8
Above $73.9998%
9
Above $74.49198%
10
Above $74.9998%
11
Above $75.4998%
12
Above $76.99198%
13
Above $75.9997%
14
Above $76.49797%
15
Above $77.49597%
16
Above $78.991197%
17
Above $77.99296%
18
Above $78.49896%
19
Above $79.491396%
20
Above $79.991593%
21
Above $80.492692%
22
Above $80.992288%
23
Above $81.492484%
24
Above $81.992578%
25
Above $82.492571%
26
Above $82.992564%
27
Above $83.492160%
28
Above $83.992252%
29
Above $84.492144%
30
Above $84.991436%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2620%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $70.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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