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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 2, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $75.4999%
2
Above $75.9999%
3
Above $76.4999%
4
Above $76.9999%
5
Above $77.4999%
6
Above $77.9999%
7
Above $78.4999%
8
Above $78.9999%
9
Above $79.4999%
10
Above $79.9999%
11
Above $80.4999%
12
Above $80.9999%
13
Above $81.4999%
14
Above $81.9999%
15
Above $82.4999%
16
Above $82.9999%
17
Above $83.4999%
18
Above $83.9998%
19
Above $84.4998%
20
Above $84.9996%
21
Above $86.4996%
22
Above $85.4993%
23
Above $86.9993%
24
Above $85.9990%
25
Above $87.4987%
26
Above $87.9985%
27
Above $88.4981%
28
Above $88.9974%
29
Above $89.4964%
30
Above $89.9957%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2795%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $75.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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