Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 24, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 27 outcomesOne winner
1
$79.00 to $79.998%
2
$80.00 to $80.998%
3
$81.00 to $81.998%
4
$82.00 to $82.998%
5
$83.00 to $83.997%
6
$84.00 to $84.997%
7
$78.00 to $78.995%
8
$85.00 to $85.995%
9
$86.00 to $86.995%
10
$77.00 to $77.994%
11
$88.00 to $88.994%
12
Above $94.994%
13
$87.00 to $87.993%
14
$89.00 to $89.993%
15
$90.00 to $90.993%
16
$91.00 to $91.993%
17
$92.00 to $92.993%
18
Below $70.002%
19
$94.00 to $94.992%
20
$93.00 to $93.991%
21
$70.00 to $70.990%
22
$71.00 to $71.990%
23
$72.00 to $72.990%
24
$73.00 to $73.990%
25
$74.00 to $74.990%
26
$75.00 to $75.990%
27
$76.00 to $76.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 93%, a 7-point underround. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 09¢ have gone on to settle YES 14% of the time (n=146). The price implies 8%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $79.00 to $79.99 at 8¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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