ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Sports

Will Sebastian Baez win the Baez vs Rinderknech: Round Of 16 match?

Sebastian Baez
99%
implied chance of YES
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Sports markets
Will Neus Torner Sensano win the Torner Sensano vs Toma: W50 Horb Round of 32 match?74%Will Maria Toma win the Torner Sensano vs Toma: W50 Horb Round of 32 match?27%Will Mariano Navone win the Struff vs Navone: Round Of 16 match?93%Will Hugo Gaston win the Gaston vs Droguet: Round Of 16 match?83%Will Marie Bouzkova win the Bouzkova vs Lee: Round Of 16 match?93%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXATPMATCH-26JUL22BAERIN-BAE" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will Sebastian Baez win the Baez vs Rinderknech: Round Of 16 match? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXATPMATCH-26JUL22BAERIN-BAE">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.