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Live odds / Esports

Will FaZe win the Vitality vs. FaZe CS2 match?

FaZe
24%
implied chance of YES
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 24 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
24¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
28¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 28.4% of the time, and the crowd is charging 24c. Based on 67 settled esports markets in the 20-29c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the esports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 20–29¢ have gone on to settle YES 26% of the time (n=739). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
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Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.