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Live odds / Esports

Will Vitality win the Vitality vs. FaZe CS2 match?

Vitality
75%
implied chance of YES
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 75 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
77¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
64¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
-11¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 64.2% of the time, and the crowd is charging 77c. Based on 67 settled esports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the esports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 75% of the time (n=480). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
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Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.