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Live odds / Esports

Will Vitality win map 2 in the Vitality vs. FaZe match?

Vitality
66%
implied chance of YES
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 66 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
66¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
57¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
-7¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 57.4% of the time, and the crowd is charging 66c. Based on 122 settled esports markets in the 60-69c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the esports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 60–69¢ have gone on to settle YES 64% of the time (n=682). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
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Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.