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Will 100 Thieves win map 1 in the Nuclear TigeRES vs. 100 Thieves match?

100 Thieves
1%
implied chance of YES
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 1 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 14% of the time (n=146). The price implies 1%, so historically this band has come in about 13 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Esports markets
Will 100 Thieves win the Nuclear TigeRES vs. 100 Thieves CS2 match?29%Will Nuclear TigeRES win the Nuclear TigeRES vs. 100 Thieves CS2 match?72%Will ECHO win the ECHO vs. NIP CS2 match?35%Will NIP win the ECHO vs. NIP CS2 match?65%Will megoshort win the Privateer Gaming vs. megoshort CS2 match?33%
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