ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Other

Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?

Jay Clayton
93%
implied chance of YES
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 93 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 93%, so historically this band has come in about 13 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Other markets
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.050?1%Will any man break (not tie) the outdoor world record for the Men's One Mile after Issuanc14%Will average **gas prices** be above $4.030?2%Will the copper close price be above 5.80 USD/Lbs on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?98%Will average **gas prices** be above $4.010?39%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXNEXTODNI-29-JC" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXNEXTODNI-29-JC">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.