ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Sports

Will Aaron Rai win the BMW Championship?

Aaron Rai
1%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 1 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 9% of the time (n=479). The price implies 1%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Sports markets
Will Sofia Alekseeva win the Grekul vs Alekseeva: W35 Verbier Round of 16 match?40%Will Alexandra Biot win the Salvadori vs Biot: W35 Verbier Round of 16 match?54%Will Micol Salvadori win the Salvadori vs Biot: W35 Verbier Round of 16 match?45%Will Elena Grekul win the Grekul vs Alekseeva: W35 Verbier Round of 16 match?62%Dallas vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins?71%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXPGATOUR-BMC26-ARAI" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will Aaron Rai win the BMW Championship? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXPGATOUR-BMC26-ARAI">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.