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Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Aug 26, 2026 be above 1178.52?

Above 1178.52
99%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 91% of the time (n=618). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 8 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Other markets
Gold price up in next 15 mins?61%Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Aug 26, 2026 be above 1208.52?99%Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Aug 26, 2026 be above 1308.52?1%Silver price up in next 15 mins?81%Will the S&P 500 be above 7677.28 on Aug 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?59%
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