Where does this number come from?

It's the live price of the Kalshi event contract, which trades between 1 and 99 cents. A price of 60 cents implies a 60% chance. ContractTax reads the public market price and adds price history and context.

Live odds / Other

Will Insidious: Out of the Further be #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Rig

Insidious: Out of the Further

1%

implied chance of YES

Recorded price path

This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 1 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 7% of the time (n=893). The price implies 1%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

See the full field for this event →

More live Other markets

Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend at least 1 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 98%Will the copper close price be above 7.02 USD/Lbs on August 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?1%Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank Hike more than 50bps at the September Monetary Council policy1%Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?57%Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming Lake Ontario to Lake America befo36%

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXTVSTATSMOVIE-26AUG26-INS" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will Insidious: Out of the Further be #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular Movies Rig - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXTVSTATSMOVIE-26AUG26-INS">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.