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Will Angie Craig receive at least 39% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Dem

At least 39%
99%
implied chance of YES▲ 3 today
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 85% of the time (n=199). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 14 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Other markets
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.095?1%Gold price up in next 15 mins?30%Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?74%Will average **gas prices** be above $4.075?97%Will Angie Craig receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate Dem1%
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