What are the odds of "Dallas vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins?"?

The live Kalshi market currently prices this at 30%, meaning traders collectively imply about a 30% chance of YES. Prices move continuously as new information arrives.

Where does this number come from?

It's the live price of the Kalshi event contract, which trades between 1 and 99 cents. A price of 60 cents implies a 60% chance. ContractTax reads the public market price and adds price history and context.

Live odds / Sports

Dallas vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins?

Dallas

30%

implied chance of YES▼ 3 today

Recorded price path

This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 30 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

30¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

34¢

AFTER THE 2¢ FEE

+2¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 34.4% of the time, and the crowd is charging 30c. Based on 535 settled sports markets in the 30-39c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 30–39¢ have gone on to settle YES 35% of the time (n=720). The price implies 30%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

See the full field for this event →

More live Sports markets

Sri Lanka vs India match: Sri Lanka wins3%Sri Lanka vs India match: India wins81%Will Emma Mazzoni win the Mazzoni vs Havermans: W35 Verbier Round of 16 match?83%Will Sofia Alekseeva win the Grekul vs Alekseeva: W35 Verbier Round of 16 match?22%Sri Lanka vs India match: Draw/Tie wins21%

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXWNBAGAME-26AUG17DALGS-DAL" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Dallas vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXWNBAGAME-26AUG17DALGS-DAL">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.