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Live odds / Economics

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 76.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 11, 2026?

Above $76.99
99%
implied chance of YES▲ 26 today
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 84% of the time (n=129). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 15 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Economics markets
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?2%Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 12, 2026?62%Will the natural gas close price be above 2.805 USD/MMBtu on August 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED29%Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 81.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 12, 2026?79%Will the natural gas close price be above 2.795 USD/MMBtu on August 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED33%
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