ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Economics

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 21, 2026?

Above $77.99
93%
implied chance of YES
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 93 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 93%, so historically this band has come in about 13 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Economics markets
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 70.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 21, 2026?99%Will the brent crude oil close price be above 88.50 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED66%Will the brent crude oil close price be above 87 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?83%Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 70.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 21, 2026?99%Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 83.00 and 83.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 24, 20268%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXWTI-26JUL2114-T77.99" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 21, 2026? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXWTI-26JUL2114-T77.99">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.