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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 21, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $70.4999%
2
Above $70.9999%
3
Above $76.4996%
4
Above $75.4995%
5
Above $75.9995%
6
Above $76.9993%
7
Above $77.9991%
8
Above $78.4988%
9
Above $77.4985%
10
Above $78.9984%
11
Above $79.4980%
12
Above $79.9976%
13
Above $80.4971%
14
Above $80.9967%
15
Above $81.4961%
16
Above $81.9957%
17
Above $82.4951%
18
Above $82.9946%
19
Above $83.4939%
20
Above $83.9937%
21
Above $84.4930%
22
Above $84.9925%
23
Above $71.490%
24
Above $71.990%
25
Above $72.490%
26
Above $72.990%
27
Above $73.490%
28
Above $73.990%
29
Above $74.490%
30
Above $74.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1565%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 80% of the time (n=100). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 19 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $70.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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