Settled markets / KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JUL09-SAVE

What will Donald Trump say during next White House livestream?

SETTLED NOPoliticsJuly 13, 2026 at 2:50 PM EDT

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 50¢, making YES roughly a 50% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the NO side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 20 observations

Jul 12 · 34¢50¢Jul 13 · 21¢

Keep going: how Politics markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.