November 15, 2026

We built this 5-leg combo from live Kalshi markets and published its odds before the games were played. Here is what we said, and what actually happened. See the whole archive.

Not settled yet

WE SAID

6.9%

chance to hit

LEGS THAT LANDED

—

still playing

FAIR PAYOUT

$291

off $20

The ticket, as we published it

1Iowa St. wins by over 38.5 points to winNIAG vs ISU50¢

2Nishesh Basavareddy to winVIR vs BAS54¢

3Raffaele Ciurnelli to winCIU vs POT62¢

4Michael Vrbensky to winVRB vs URS76¢

5Full Game: Over 226.5 points scoredLAL vs PHX54¢

The near-miss trap: this ticket came up exactly one leg short 25% of the time, far more often than it ever cashed. That is what keeps people building them.

Open this combo in the builder →See today’s combo

Never a pick or a recommendation. Odds were published before the games and the result was settled from Kalshi’s public data.