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US gas prices this week

Live Kalshi odds · 21 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 4.100099%
2
Above 4.120099%
3
Above 4.140099%
4
Above 4.160097%
5
Above 4.180096%
6
Above 4.200093%
7
Above 4.220071%
8
Above 4.240041%
9
Above 4.260017%
10
Above 4.28009%
11
Above 4.30005%
12
Above 4.32002%
13
Above 4.34002%
14
Above 4.36001%
15
Above 4.38001%
16
Above 4.40001%
17
Above 4.42001%
18
Above 4.44001%
19
Above 4.46001%
20
Above 4.48001%
21
Above 4.50001%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 738%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,528). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 4.1000 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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