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US gas prices this week

Live Kalshi odds · 39 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲24Biggest move: Above 4.3000 up to 97% recently.
1
Above 3.980099%
2
Above 4.000099%
3
Above 4.020099%
4
Above 4.040099%
5
Above 4.060099%
6
Above 4.080099%
7
Above 4.100099%
8
Above 4.120099%
9
Above 4.140099%
10
Above 4.160099%
11
Above 4.180099%
12
Above 4.2000▲199%
13
Above 4.220099%
14
Above 4.240099%
15
Above 4.260099%
16
Above 4.2800▲699%
17
Above 4.3000▲2497%
18
Above 4.302095%
19
Above 4.310085%
20
Above 4.304082%
21
Above 4.308082%
22
Above 4.312082%
23
Above 4.306071%
24
Above 4.332047%
25
Above 4.3200▼1044%
26
Above 4.334044%
27
Above 4.336037%
28
Above 4.338036%
29
Above 4.3400▼2215%
30
Above 4.3600▼193%
31
Above 4.3800▼63%
32
Above 4.31400%
33
Above 4.31600%
34
Above 4.31800%
35
Above 4.32200%
36
Above 4.32400%
37
Above 4.32600%
38
Above 4.32800%
39
Above 4.33000%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2407%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 3.9800 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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