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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Live Kalshi odds · 23 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼73Biggest move: Social Security down to 1% recently.
1
Billionaire (3+ times)▲699%
2
Working Class / Middle Class▲899%
3
Elon / Musk▲1199%
4
Tax Break▲999%
5
Corrupt / Corruption▲3599%
6
Oil / Gas / Gasoline▲2199%
7
Robot / Robotic / Robotics▲3999%
8
Trump (5+ times)▲1899%
9
Israel / Netanyahu▲4799%
10
Zohran / Mamdani▲3499%
11
Immigrant / Immigration▲7299%
12
Inflation▼521%
13
Climate▼541%
14
Social Security▼731%
15
Farm / Farmer▼511%
16
Zillion / Zillionaire▼581%
17
Socialist / Socialism▼641%
18
Bernie▼401%
19
ChatGPT / OpenAI▼261%
20
Trillionaire▼411%
21
Nuclear▼91%
22
Epstein▼101%
23
Event does not qualify1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1101%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,480). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Billionaire (3+ times) at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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