Odds boards / Economics

Brent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
20Biggest move: Above $93.99 down to 63% recently.
1
Above $55.99599%
2
Above $51.99398%
3
Above $67.9996%
4
Above $65.9995%
5
Above $71.9994%
6
Above $73.99194%
7
Above $75.99194%
8
Above $77.9994%
9
Above $79.9994%
10
Above $81.99191%
11
Above $83.99588%
12
Above $85.99486%
13
Above $87.9985%
14
Above $89.99183%
15
Above $91.99974%
16
Above $93.992063%
17
Above $95.991561%
18
Above $97.99752%
19
Above $99.99746%
20
Above $101.99441%
21
Above $103.99934%
22
Above $105.991430%
23
Above $107.99827%
24
Above $109.99124%
25
Above $111.99116%
26
Above $113.9915%
27
Above $115.991214%
28
Above $119.99612%
29
Above $125.99211%
30
Above $117.991210%
31
Above $121.99710%
32
Above $123.9929%
33
Above $129.9917%
34
Above $127.9916%
35
Above $53.990%
36
Above $57.990%
37
Above $59.990%
38
Above $61.990%
39
Above $63.990%
40
Above $69.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1853%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $55.99 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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