Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price range on Aug 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesOne winner
1
$63,500 to 63,749.9915%
2
$63,750 to 63,999.9915%
3
$63,250 to 63,499.9914%
4
$64,000 to 64,249.9913%
5
$62,500 to 62,749.997%
6
$54,249.99 or below0%
7
$54,250 to 54,499.990%
8
$54,500 to 54,749.990%
9
$54,750 to 54,999.990%
10
$55,000 to 55,249.990%
11
$55,250 to 55,499.990%
12
$55,500 to 55,749.990%
13
$55,750 to 55,999.990%
14
$56,000 to 56,249.990%
15
$56,250 to 56,499.990%
16
$56,500 to 56,749.990%
17
$56,750 to 56,999.990%
18
$57,000 to 57,249.990%
19
$57,250 to 57,499.990%
20
$57,500 to 57,749.990%
21
$57,750 to 57,999.990%
22
$58,000 to 58,249.990%
23
$58,250 to 58,499.990%
24
$58,500 to 58,749.990%
25
$58,750 to 58,999.990%
26
$59,000 to 59,249.990%
27
$59,250 to 59,499.990%
28
$59,500 to 59,749.990%
29
$59,750 to 59,999.990%
30
$60,000 to 60,249.990%
31
$60,250 to 60,499.990%
32
$60,500 to 60,749.990%
33
$60,750 to 60,999.990%
34
$61,000 to 61,249.990%
35
$61,250 to 61,499.990%
36
$61,500 to 61,749.990%
37
$61,750 to 61,999.990%
38
$62,000 to 62,249.990%
39
$62,250 to 62,499.990%
40
$62,750 to 62,999.990%
41
$63,000 to 63,249.990%
42
$64,250 to 64,499.990%
43
$64,500 to 64,749.990%
44
$64,750 to 64,999.990%
45
$65,000 to 65,249.990%
46
$65,250 to 65,499.990%
47
$65,500 to 65,749.990%
48
$65,750 to 65,999.990%
49
$66,000 to 66,249.990%
50
$66,250 to 66,499.990%
51
$66,500 to 66,749.990%
52
$66,750 to 66,999.990%
53
$67,000 to 67,249.990%
54
$67,250 to 67,499.990%
55
$67,500 to 67,749.990%
56
$67,750 to 67,999.990%
57
$68,000 to 68,249.990%
58
$68,250 to 68,499.990%
59
$68,500 to 68,749.990%
60
$68,750 to 68,999.990%
61
$69,000 to 69,249.990%
62
$69,250 to 69,499.990%
63
$69,500 to 69,749.990%
64
$69,750 to 69,999.990%
65
$70,000 to 70,249.990%
66
$70,250 to 70,499.990%
67
$70,500 to 70,749.990%
68
$70,750 to 70,999.990%
69
$71,000 to 71,249.990%
70
$71,250 to 71,499.990%
71
$71,500 to 71,749.990%
72
$71,750 to 71,999.990%
73
$72,000 to 72,249.990%
74
$72,250 to 72,499.990%
75
$72,500 to 72,749.990%
76
$72,750 to 72,999.990%
77
$73,000 to 73,249.990%
78
$73,250 to 73,499.990%
79
$73,500 to 73,749.990%
80
$73,750 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 64%, a 36-point underround. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
Priced about right
KALSHI CHARGES
15¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
16¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 15.5% of the time against a 15c price, which is close enough to fair that the 1c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 174 settled markets across all categories in the 10-19c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence).
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 1019¢ have gone on to settle YES 16% of the time (n=174). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $63,500 to 63,749.99 at 15¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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