What are the current odds for BTC price range on Aug 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT??

$77,250 to 77,499.99 10%, $77,750 to 77,999.99 9%, $78,000 to 78,249.99 9%, $77,500 to 77,749.99 8%, $77,000 to 77,249.99 7%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price range on Aug 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesOne winner

$77,250 to 77,499.9910%

$77,750 to 77,999.999%

$78,000 to 78,249.999%

$77,500 to 77,749.998%

$77,000 to 77,249.997%

$78,250 to 78,499.997%

$78,500 to 78,749.997%

$80,250 to 80,499.996%

$76,000 to 76,249.995%

$79,250 to 79,499.995%

$75,500 to 75,749.994%

$75,750 to 75,999.994%

$78,750 to 78,999.994%

$79,750 to 79,999.994%

$80,000 to 80,249.994%

$80,500 to 80,749.994%

$80,750 to 80,999.994%

$81,250 to 81,499.994%

$74,500 to 74,749.993%

$72,250 to 72,499.992%

$79,000 to 79,249.992%

$81,000 to 81,249.992%

$82,250 to 82,499.992%

$79,500 to 79,749.991%

$83,500 to 83,749.991%

$68,749.99 or below0%

$68,750 to 68,999.990%

$69,000 to 69,249.990%

$69,250 to 69,499.990%

$69,500 to 69,749.990%

$69,750 to 69,999.990%

$70,000 to 70,249.990%

$70,250 to 70,499.990%

$70,500 to 70,749.990%

$70,750 to 70,999.990%

$71,000 to 71,249.990%

$71,250 to 71,499.990%

$71,500 to 71,749.990%

$71,750 to 71,999.990%

$72,000 to 72,249.990%

$72,500 to 72,749.990%

$72,750 to 72,999.990%

$73,000 to 73,249.990%

$73,250 to 73,499.990%

$73,500 to 73,749.990%

$73,750 to 73,999.990%

$74,000 to 74,249.990%

$74,250 to 74,499.990%

$74,750 to 74,999.990%

$75,000 to 75,249.990%

$75,250 to 75,499.990%

$76,250 to 76,499.990%

$76,500 to 76,749.990%

$76,750 to 76,999.990%

$81,500 to 81,749.990%

$81,750 to 81,999.990%

$82,000 to 82,249.990%

$82,500 to 82,749.990%

$82,750 to 82,999.990%

$83,000 to 83,249.990%

$83,250 to 83,499.990%

$83,750 to 83,999.990%

$84,000 to 84,249.990%

$84,250 to 84,499.990%

$84,500 to 84,749.990%

$84,750 to 84,999.990%

$85,000 to 85,249.990%

$85,250 to 85,499.990%

$85,500 to 85,749.990%

$85,750 to 85,999.990%

$86,000 to 86,249.990%

$86,250 to 86,499.990%

$86,500 to 86,749.990%

$86,750 to 86,999.990%

$87,000 to 87,249.990%

$87,250 to 87,499.990%

$87,500 to 87,749.990%

$87,750 to 87,999.990%

$88,000 to 88,249.990%

$88,250 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 118%, a 18-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

10¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

14¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

+3¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 13.6% of the time, and the crowd is charging 10c. Based on 795 settled markets across all categories in the 10-19c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 3c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 10–19¢ have gone on to settle YES 14% of the time (n=795). The price implies 10%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, $77,250 to 77,499.99 at 10¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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