Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$66,000 or above97%
2
$66,500 or above97%
3
$68,000 or above95%
4
$70,500 or above95%
5
$68,500 or above94%
6
$69,000 or above94%
7
$69,500 or above93%
8
$70,000 or above93%
9
$71,500 or above93%
10
$71,000 or above91%
11
$72,000 or above89%
12
$73,000 or above88%
13
$72,500 or above87%
14
$73,500 or above83%
15
$74,000 or above82%
16
$74,500 or above77%
17
$75,000 or above74%
18
$75,500 or above70%
19
$76,000 or above67%
20
$76,500 or above62%
21
$77,000 or above58%
22
$77,500 or above54%
23
$78,000 or above52%
24
$78,500 or above48%
25
$79,000 or above47%
26
$79,500 or above40%
27
$80,000 or above38%
28
$80,500 or above34%
29
$81,000 or above32%
30
$81,500 or above30%
31
$82,000 or above20%
32
$82,500 or above20%
33
$83,000 or above20%
34
$83,500 or above16%
35
$84,500 or above16%
36
$85,000 or above15%
37
$84,000 or above13%
38
$85,500 or above13%
39
$86,000 or above12%
40
$86,500 or above12%
41
$87,000 or above11%
42
$87,500 or above10%
43
$88,000 or above9%
44
$88,500 or above8%
45
$89,000 or above7%
46
$89,500 or above7%
47
$90,000 or above6%
48
$90,500 or above6%
49
$67,000 or above0%
50
$67,500 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2375%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
97¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
90¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-6¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 90.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 97c. Based on 459 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 90% of the time (n=459). The price implies 97%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $66,000 or above at 97¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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