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BTC price on Nov 9, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$65,500 or above99%
2
$67,500 or above99%
3
$67,750 or above99%
4
$68,000 or above99%
5
$68,250 or above99%
6
$70,500 or above99%
7
$71,000 or above99%
8
$71,250 or above99%
9
$71,500 or above99%
10
$69,000 or above98%
11
$69,500 or above98%
12
$68,500 or above97%
13
$69,250 or above97%
14
$69,750 or above97%
15
$70,000 or above97%
16
$70,250 or above97%
17
$71,750 or above97%
18
$68,750 or above96%
19
$70,750 or above96%
20
$72,000 or above96%
21
$72,250 or above96%
22
$72,500 or above95%
23
$72,750 or above95%
24
$73,000 or above92%
25
$73,250 or above91%
26
$73,500 or above84%
27
$73,750 or above82%
28
$74,000 or above77%
29
$74,250 or above72%
30
$74,500 or above64%
31
$74,750 or above58%
32
$75,000 or above51%
33
$75,250 or above42%
34
$75,500 or above36%
35
$75,750 or above25%
36
$76,000 or above24%
37
$76,500 or above20%
38
$76,250 or above16%
39
$76,750 or above11%
40
$77,000 or above10%
41
$77,250 or above7%
42
$77,500 or above5%
43
$77,750 or above5%
44
$78,500 or above5%
45
$80,250 or above5%
46
$78,000 or above4%
47
$78,250 or above4%
48
$79,000 or above4%
49
$79,250 or above4%
50
$78,750 or above3%
51
$79,750 or above3%
52
$80,000 or above3%
53
$80,750 or above3%
54
$81,000 or above3%
55
$79,500 or above1%
56
$80,500 or above1%
57
$81,250 or above1%
58
$81,500 or above1%
59
$81,750 or above1%
60
$82,000 or above1%
61
$82,250 or above1%
62
$82,500 or above1%
63
$82,750 or above1%
64
$83,000 or above1%
65
$83,250 or above1%
66
$83,500 or above1%
67
$83,750 or above1%
68
$84,000 or above1%
69
$85,250 or above1%
70
$65,750 or above0%
71
$66,000 or above0%
72
$66,250 or above0%
73
$66,500 or above0%
74
$66,750 or above0%
75
$67,000 or above0%
76
$67,250 or above0%
77
$84,250 or above0%
78
$84,500 or above0%
79
$84,750 or above0%
80
$85,000 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3171%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,820). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $65,500 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXBTCD-26NOV0917">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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