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Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲10Biggest move: $82,500 or above up to 78% recently.
1
$72,000 or above99%
2
$71,500 or above98%
3
$72,500 or above98%
4
$75,000 or above98%
5
$74,500 or above97%
6
$79,000 or above▲497%
7
$75,500 or above96%
8
$76,000 or above96%
9
$77,000 or above96%
10
$77,500 or above▲196%
11
$78,000 or above95%
12
$78,500 or above95%
13
$79,500 or above▲293%
14
$80,000 or above▲593%
15
$80,500 or above▲591%
16
$81,000 or above▲587%
17
$81,500 or above▲886%
18
$82,500 or above▲1078%
19
$82,000 or above▼173%
20
$83,000 or above▲972%
21
$83,500 or above▲966%
22
$84,000 or above▲556%
23
$84,500 or above▲751%
24
$85,000 or above▲745%
25
$85,500 or above▲1041%
26
$86,000 or above▲733%
27
$86,500 or above▲930%
28
$87,000 or above▲825%
29
$87,500 or above▲821%
30
$88,000 or above▲314%
31
$88,500 or above▲514%
32
$89,000 or above▲29%
33
$89,500 or above▲49%
34
$90,000 or above▲27%
35
$90,500 or above▲15%
36
$91,000 or above5%
37
$91,500 or above4%
38
$92,500 or above▲14%
39
$94,500 or above2%
40
$96,000 or above2%
41
$73,000 or above0%
42
$73,500 or above0%
43
$74,000 or above0%
44
$76,500 or above0%
45
$92,000 or above0%
46
$93,000 or above0%
47
$93,500 or above0%
48
$94,000 or above0%
49
$95,000 or above0%
50
$95,500 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2277%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $72,000 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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