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BTC price on Oct 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$72,500 or above99%
2
$77,250 or above99%
3
$78,250 or above99%
4
$77,000 or above98%
5
$77,500 or above98%
6
$78,500 or above98%
7
$79,000 or above98%
8
$75,750 or above97%
9
$76,000 or above97%
10
$76,250 or above97%
11
$78,000 or above97%
12
$78,750 or above97%
13
$79,250 or above97%
14
$79,500 or above97%
15
$79,750 or above97%
16
$76,750 or above96%
17
$76,500 or above95%
18
$77,750 or above95%
19
$80,000 or above95%
20
$80,250 or above93%
21
$80,500 or above91%
22
$80,750 or above89%
23
$81,000 or above85%
24
$81,250 or above80%
25
$81,500 or above74%
26
$81,750 or above69%
27
$82,000 or above61%
28
$82,250 or above53%
29
$82,500 or above45%
30
$82,750 or above39%
31
$83,000 or above33%
32
$83,250 or above26%
33
$83,500 or above21%
34
$83,750 or above16%
35
$84,000 or above12%
36
$84,250 or above9%
37
$84,500 or above7%
38
$84,750 or above6%
39
$85,000 or above5%
40
$85,250 or above3%
41
$85,500 or above3%
42
$85,750 or above2%
43
$86,000 or above2%
44
$86,250 or above2%
45
$87,000 or above2%
46
$86,500 or above1%
47
$87,250 or above1%
48
$71,500 or above0%
49
$71,750 or above0%
50
$72,000 or above0%
51
$72,250 or above0%
52
$72,750 or above0%
53
$73,000 or above0%
54
$73,250 or above0%
55
$73,500 or above0%
56
$73,750 or above0%
57
$74,000 or above0%
58
$74,250 or above0%
59
$74,500 or above0%
60
$74,750 or above0%
61
$75,000 or above0%
62
$75,250 or above0%
63
$75,500 or above0%
64
$86,750 or above0%
65
$87,500 or above0%
66
$87,750 or above0%
67
$88,000 or above0%
68
$88,250 or above0%
69
$88,500 or above0%
70
$88,750 or above0%
71
$89,000 or above0%
72
$89,250 or above0%
73
$89,500 or above0%
74
$89,750 or above0%
75
$90,000 or above0%
76
$90,250 or above0%
77
$90,500 or above0%
78
$90,750 or above0%
79
$91,000 or above0%
80
$91,250 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2776%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,523). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $72,500 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXBTCD-26OCT1917">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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