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BTC price on Oct 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 81 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$77,800 or above99%
2
$77,900 or above99%
3
$77,700 or above98%
4
$78,000 or above98%
5
$78,100 or above97%
6
$78,200 or above97%
7
$78,300 or above97%
8
$78,400 or above96%
9
$78,500 or above96%
10
$78,700 or above94%
11
$78,800 or above94%
12
$78,600 or above93%
13
$78,900 or above93%
14
$79,200 or above92%
15
$79,000 or above90%
16
$79,100 or above90%
17
$79,300 or above89%
18
$79,400 or above87%
19
$79,600 or above87%
20
$79,500 or above85%
21
$79,700 or above82%
22
$79,800 or above80%
23
$79,900 or above79%
24
$80,000 or above77%
25
$80,100 or above75%
26
$80,200 or above71%
27
$80,300 or above67%
28
$80,400 or above65%
29
$80,500 or above65%
30
$80,600 or above60%
31
$80,700 or above57%
32
$80,800 or above55%
33
$80,900 or above50%
34
$81,000 or above49%
35
$81,100 or above44%
36
$81,200 or above38%
37
$81,300 or above38%
38
$81,400 or above36%
39
$81,500 or above32%
40
$81,600 or above32%
41
$81,700 or above23%
42
$81,800 or above22%
43
$81,900 or above20%
44
$82,000 or above18%
45
$82,100 or above17%
46
$82,200 or above14%
47
$82,300 or above13%
48
$82,400 or above10%
49
$82,500 or above10%
50
$82,700 or above8%
51
$82,600 or above7%
52
$82,800 or above7%
53
$82,900 or above7%
54
$83,000 or above6%
55
$83,100 or above5%
56
$83,200 or above5%
57
$83,400 or above5%
58
$83,300 or above4%
59
$83,500 or above4%
60
$83,600 or above4%
61
$83,700 or above4%
62
$83,800 or above3%
63
$84,000 or above1%
64
$76,000 or above0%
65
$76,100 or above0%
66
$76,200 or above0%
67
$76,300 or above0%
68
$76,400 or above0%
69
$76,500 or above0%
70
$76,600 or above0%
71
$76,700 or above0%
72
$76,800 or above0%
73
$76,900 or above0%
74
$77,000 or above0%
75
$77,100 or above0%
76
$77,200 or above0%
77
$77,300 or above0%
78
$77,400 or above0%
79
$77,500 or above0%
80
$77,600 or above0%
81
$83,900 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3240%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,643). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $77,800 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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