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BTC price on Sep 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$70,000 or above99%
2
$70,250 or above99%
3
$70,500 or above99%
4
$71,250 or above99%
5
$70,750 or above98%
6
$71,000 or above97%
7
$71,500 or above97%
8
$71,750 or above97%
9
$72,000 or above97%
10
$72,250 or above96%
11
$72,500 or above96%
12
$72,750 or above95%
13
$73,000 or above93%
14
$73,250 or above93%
15
$73,500 or above92%
16
$73,750 or above89%
17
$74,000 or above87%
18
$74,250 or above85%
19
$74,500 or above80%
20
$74,750 or above76%
21
$75,000 or above69%
22
$75,250 or above60%
23
$75,500 or above57%
24
$75,750 or above50%
25
$76,000 or above42%
26
$76,250 or above39%
27
$76,500 or above31%
28
$76,750 or above26%
29
$77,000 or above23%
30
$77,250 or above18%
31
$77,500 or above15%
32
$77,750 or above11%
33
$78,000 or above11%
34
$78,250 or above8%
35
$78,500 or above7%
36
$78,750 or above6%
37
$79,000 or above4%
38
$79,250 or above3%
39
$79,500 or above3%
40
$79,750 or above3%
41
$80,000 or above3%
42
$81,000 or above2%
43
$80,250 or above1%
44
$80,500 or above1%
45
$81,250 or above1%
46
$81,500 or above1%
47
$81,750 or above1%
48
$82,000 or above1%
49
$82,250 or above1%
50
$82,500 or above1%
51
$82,750 or above1%
52
$83,000 or above1%
53
$66,500 or above0%
54
$66,750 or above0%
55
$67,000 or above0%
56
$67,250 or above0%
57
$67,500 or above0%
58
$67,750 or above0%
59
$68,000 or above0%
60
$68,250 or above0%
61
$68,500 or above0%
62
$68,750 or above0%
63
$69,000 or above0%
64
$69,250 or above0%
65
$69,500 or above0%
66
$69,750 or above0%
67
$80,750 or above0%
68
$83,250 or above0%
69
$83,500 or above0%
70
$83,750 or above0%
71
$84,000 or above0%
72
$84,250 or above0%
73
$84,500 or above0%
74
$84,750 or above0%
75
$85,000 or above0%
76
$85,250 or above0%
77
$85,500 or above0%
78
$85,750 or above0%
79
$86,000 or above0%
80
$86,250 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2365%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $70,000 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXBTCD-26SEP1617">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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