What are the current odds for Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Winner?

Matt Fitzpatrick 24%, Tommy Fleetwood 8%, Robert MacIntyre 5%, Dean Burmester 4%, Sean Crocker 3%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Other

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Winner

Live Kalshi odds · 178 outcomesOne winner

▲13Biggest move: Matt Fitzpatrick up to 24% recently.

Matt Fitzpatrick▲1324%

Jacob Skov Olesen▲13%

Niklas Nørgaard Møller1%

Thomas Rosenmueller1%

Adrien Saddier1%

Jayden Trey Schaper1%

Kiradech Aphibarnrat0%

Rafa Cabrera Bello▼10%

Jorge Campillo0%

Ivan Cantero Gutierrez0%

Alejandro Del Rey▼10%

Luke Donald0%

Will Florimo0%

Dylan Frittelli0%

Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez0%

Jazz Janewattananond0%

Rocco Repetto Taylor0%

128

JC Ritchie0%

129

Brandon Robinson-Thompson0%

Ollie Schniederjans0%

Sebastian Söderberg0%

144

Pavit Tangkamolprasert0%

Jose Luis Ballester Barrio0%

Benjamin Follett-Smith0%

Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor0%

170

Robert Rock0%

171

Sebastian Rodriguez Garcia0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 122%, a 22-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

24¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

18¢

AFTER THE 2¢ FEE

-4¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 18.4% of the time, and the crowd is charging 24c. Based on 234 settled other markets in the 20-29c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 20–29¢ have gone on to settle YES 25% of the time (n=2,782). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Matt Fitzpatrick at 24¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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