What are the current odds for Genesis Championship Winner?

Si Woo Kim 12%, Sungjae Im 8%, Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 8%, Adrian Otaegui 7%, Antoine Rozner 6%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Other

Genesis Championship Winner

Live Kalshi odds · 125 outcomesOne winner

▼3Biggest move: Daniel Hillier down to 3% recently.

Si Woo Kim▼112%

Sungjae Im8%

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra▼18%

Oihan Guillamoundeguy1%

Nicolai von Dellingshausen1%

Jeunghun Wang1%

Zhou Yanhan1%

Cameron Adam0%

Kiradech Aphibarnrat0%

Albin Bergstrom▼10%

Jorge Campillo0%

Ivan Cantero Gutierrez0%

Brandon Kewalramani0%

Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor0%

107

Brandon Robinson Thompson0%

108

Daniel Rodrigues0%

109

Sebastian Rodriguez Garcia0%

Sebastian Soderberg0%

116

Maximilian Steinlechner0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 125%, a 25-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

12¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

15¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

+2¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 15.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 12c. Based on 246 settled other markets in the 10-19c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 10–19¢ have gone on to settle YES 15% of the time (n=2,590). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Si Woo Kim at 12¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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