What are the current odds for BMW PGA Championship End of Round 2 Leader?

Ryan Gerard 99%, Robert MacIntyre 20%, Patrick Reed 19%, Viktor Hovland 18%, Kota Kaneko 16%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Other

BMW PGA Championship End of Round 2 Leader

Live Kalshi odds · 144 outcomesOne winner

▼3Biggest move: Rory McIlroy down to 1% recently.

Marcus Helligkilde15%

Ricardo Gouveia5%

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen5%

Nicolai Von Dellingshausen4%

Angel Ayora Fanegas1%

Kiradech Aphibarnrat0%

Ivan Cantero Gutierrez0%

Oihan Guillamoundeguy0%

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra0%

Niklas Norgaard Moller0%

Brandon Robinson-Thompson0%

120

Justin Rose0%

121

Thomas Rosenmueller0%

122

Adrien Saddier0%

123

Jayden Trey Schaper0%

Sebastian Soderberg0%

132

Maximilian Steinlechner0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 246%, a 146-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Ryan Gerard at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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