What are the current odds for Brighton vs Arsenal: First Half Spread?

Arsenal wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals 15%, Brighton wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals 0%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Sports

Brighton vs Arsenal: First Half Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 2 outcomesMultiple can happen

Arsenal wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals15%

Brighton wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 15%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

15¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

13¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

-1¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 13.3% of the time, and the crowd is charging 15c. Based on 1,051 settled sports markets in the 10-19c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 10–19¢ have gone on to settle YES 14% of the time (n=1,326). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Arsenal wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals at 15¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXEPL1HSPREAD-26SEP19BRIARS" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Brighton vs Arsenal: First Half Spread - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXEPL1HSPREAD-26SEP19BRIARS">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.