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Odds boards / Crypto

ETH price on Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$2,190 or above98%
2
$2,230 or above98%
3
$2,270 or above98%
4
$2,310 or above96%
5
$2,350 or above84%
6
$2,390 or above52%
7
$2,430 or above18%
8
$2,470 or above5%
9
$2,510 or above4%
10
$2,550 or above2%
11
$1,550 or above0%
12
$1,590 or above0%
13
$1,630 or above0%
14
$1,670 or above0%
15
$1,710 or above0%
16
$1,750 or above0%
17
$1,790 or above0%
18
$1,830 or above0%
19
$1,870 or above0%
20
$1,910 or above0%
21
$1,950 or above0%
22
$1,990 or above0%
23
$2,030 or above0%
24
$2,070 or above0%
25
$2,110 or above0%
26
$2,150 or above0%
27
$2,590 or above0%
28
$2,630 or above0%
29
$2,670 or above0%
30
$2,710 or above0%
31
$2,750 or above0%
32
$2,790 or above0%
33
$2,830 or above0%
34
$2,870 or above0%
35
$2,910 or above0%
36
$2,950 or above0%
37
$2,990 or above0%
38
$3,030 or above0%
39
$3,070 or above0%
40
$3,110 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 555%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
98¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
92¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-5¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 92.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 98c. Based on 721 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $2,190 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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