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Gold price on September 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $3942.9999%
2
Above $3962.9999%
3
Above $3982.9999%
4
Above $4002.9999%
5
Above $4022.9999%
6
Above $4042.9999%
7
Above $4062.9999%
8
Above $4082.9999%
9
Above $4102.9999%
10
Above $4122.9999%
11
Above $4142.9999%
12
Above $4202.9999%
13
Above $4222.9999%
14
Above $4242.9999%
15
Above $4262.9999%
16
Above $4282.9999%
17
Above $4342.9999%
18
Above $4162.9998%
19
Above $4182.9998%
20
Above $4322.9998%
21
Above $4302.9997%
22
Above $3922.9993%
23
Above $4362.994%
24
Above $4402.994%
25
Above $4502.994%
26
Above $4382.993%
27
Above $4462.993%
28
Above $4422.992%
29
Above $4442.992%
30
Above $4482.991%
31
Above $4522.991%
32
Above $4562.991%
33
Above $4682.991%
34
Above $4702.991%
35
Above $4542.990%
36
Above $4582.990%
37
Above $4602.990%
38
Above $4622.990%
39
Above $4642.990%
40
Above $4662.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2194%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $3942.99 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXGOLDW-26SEP1117">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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