What are the current odds for S&P price range on Aug 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT??

7,750 to 7,774.9999 71%, 7,725 to 7,749.9999 23%, 7,700 to 7,724.9999 5%, 7,675 to 7,699.9999 4%, 7,775 to 7,799.9999 4%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

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S&P price range on Aug 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesOne winner

▼49Biggest move: 7,775 to 7,799.9999 down to 4% recently.

7,750 to 7,774.999971%

7,725 to 7,749.9999▲1423%

7,700 to 7,724.9999▼35%

7,675 to 7,699.9999▲34%

7,775 to 7,799.9999▼494%

7,550 to 7,574.99991%

7,800 to 7,824.9999▼241%

7,825 to 7,849.9999▼91%

7,850 to 7,874.99991%

7,424.9999 or below0%

7,425 to 7,449.99990%

7,450 to 7,474.99990%

7,475 to 7,499.99990%

7,500 to 7,524.99990%

7,525 to 7,549.99990%

7,575 to 7,599.99990%

7,600 to 7,624.99990%

7,625 to 7,649.99990%

7,650 to 7,674.99990%

7,875 to 7,899.99990%

7,900 to 7,924.99990%

7,925 to 7,949.99990%

7,950 to 7,974.99990%

7,975 to 7,999.99990%

8,000 to 8,024.99990%

8,025 to 8,049.99990%

8,050 to 8,074.99990%

8,075 to 8,099.99990%

8,100 to 8,124.99990%

8,125 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 111%, a 11-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

71¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

79¢

AFTER THE 2¢ FEE

+6¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 79.1% of the time, and the crowd is charging 71c. Based on 43 settled other markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 6c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 74% of the time (n=442). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 7,750 to 7,774.9999 at 71¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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