What are the current odds for S&P price range on Aug 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT??

7,675 to 7,699.9999 99%, 7,875 to 7,899.9999 9%, 7,725 to 7,749.9999 4%, 7,775 to 7,799.9999 3%, 7,425 to 7,449.9999 1%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

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S&P price range on Aug 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesOne winner

7,675 to 7,699.999999%

7,875 to 7,899.99999%

7,725 to 7,749.99994%

7,775 to 7,799.99993%

7,425 to 7,449.99991%

7,625 to 7,649.99991%

7,650 to 7,674.99991%

7,700 to 7,724.99991%

7,750 to 7,774.99991%

7,825 to 7,849.99991%

7,975 to 7,999.99991%

8,050 to 8,074.99991%

8,075 to 8,099.99991%

8,100 to 8,124.99991%

8,125 or above1%

7,424.9999 or below0%

7,450 to 7,474.99990%

7,475 to 7,499.99990%

7,500 to 7,524.99990%

7,525 to 7,549.99990%

7,550 to 7,574.99990%

7,575 to 7,599.99990%

7,600 to 7,624.99990%

7,800 to 7,824.99990%

7,850 to 7,874.99990%

7,900 to 7,924.99990%

7,925 to 7,949.99990%

7,950 to 7,974.99990%

8,000 to 8,024.99990%

8,025 to 8,049.99990%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 126%, a 26-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 89% of the time (n=346). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 10 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 7,675 to 7,699.9999 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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