ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Other

Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Aug 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

7,625 to 7,649.9999
1%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 1 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 8% of the time (n=526). The price implies 1%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Other markets
Gold price up in next 15 mins?2%Will Félix Mory win the Nexo Championship?1%Will Matthew Southgate win the Nexo Championship?1%Will Cameron Adam win the Nexo Championship?1%Will CD Recoleta win the 1st Half?1%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXINX-26AUG18H1600-B7637" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Aug 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXINX-26AUG18H1600-B7637">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.