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S&P price on Aug 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼80Biggest move: 7,900 or above down to 1% recently.
1
7,625 or above99%
2
7,650 or above▲299%
3
7,655 or above99%
4
7,725 or above▲1099%
5
7,705 or above▲1198%
6
7,710 or above▲598%
7
7,715 or above▲498%
8
7,720 or above▲1098%
9
7,730 or above▲797%
10
7,660 or above95%
11
7,670 or above95%
12
7,680 or above95%
13
7,735 or above▲295%
14
7,740 or above▲894%
15
7,750 or above▲893%
16
7,755 or above▲1393%
17
7,745 or above▲1092%
18
7,760 or above▲2090%
19
7,695 or above89%
20
7,765 or above▲574%
21
7,770 or above▼564%
22
7,775 or above▼1446%
23
7,780 or above▼3031%
24
7,785 or above▼3518%
25
7,790 or above▼428%
26
7,905 or above6%
27
7,795 or above▼435%
28
7,800 or above▼285%
29
7,870 or above▼724%
30
7,805 or above▼303%
31
7,815 or above▼183%
32
7,810 or above▼242%
33
7,820 or above▼172%
34
7,825 or above▼132%
35
7,865 or above▼22%
36
7,875 or above2%
37
7,830 or above▼101%
38
7,835 or above▼141%
39
7,840 or above▼71%
40
7,845 or above▼51%
41
7,850 or above▼21%
42
7,855 or above▼41%
43
7,860 or above▼31%
44
7,900 or above▼801%
45
7,915 or above1%
46
7,630 or above0%
47
7,635 or above0%
48
7,640 or above0%
49
7,645 or above0%
50
7,665 or above0%
51
7,675 or above0%
52
7,685 or above0%
53
7,690 or above0%
54
7,700 or above0%
55
7,880 or above0%
56
7,885 or above0%
57
7,890 or above0%
58
7,895 or above0%
59
7,910 or above0%
60
7,920 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2102%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 89% of the time (n=319). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 10 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,625 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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