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S&P price on Nov 5, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Live Kalshi odds · 110 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼95Biggest move: 7,570 or above down to 1% recently.
1
7,255 or above99%
2
7,260 or above99%
3
7,265 or above99%
4
7,270 or above99%
5
7,275 or above99%
6
7,280 or above99%
7
7,285 or above99%
8
7,290 or above99%
9
7,295 or above99%
10
7,300 or above99%
11
7,305 or above99%
12
7,310 or above99%
13
7,315 or above99%
14
7,320 or above99%
15
7,325 or above99%
16
7,340 or above99%
17
7,345 or above99%
18
7,250 or above97%
19
7,330 or above96%
20
7,350 or above95%
21
7,335 or above94%
22
7,355 or above70%
23
7,565 or above15%
24
7,645 or above▼6815%
25
7,525 or above10%
26
7,575 or above10%
27
7,580 or above10%
28
7,585 or above10%
29
7,590 or above10%
30
7,625 or above10%
31
7,450 or above8%
32
7,510 or above7%
33
7,605 or above7%
34
7,470 or above6%
35
7,505 or above6%
36
7,515 or above6%
37
7,660 or above6%
38
7,675 or above▼616%
39
7,435 or above5%
40
7,475 or above5%
41
7,495 or above5%
42
7,520 or above5%
43
7,550 or above▼925%
44
7,655 or above5%
45
7,665 or above5%
46
7,420 or above4%
47
7,425 or above4%
48
7,650 or above▼794%
49
7,375 or above3%
50
7,380 or above3%
51
7,430 or above3%
52
7,460 or above3%
53
7,465 or above3%
54
7,620 or above3%
55
7,670 or above3%
56
7,700 or above3%
57
7,385 or above2%
58
7,400 or above2%
59
7,455 or above2%
60
7,560 or above2%
61
7,600 or above2%
62
7,610 or above2%
63
7,640 or above2%
64
7,360 or above1%
65
7,365 or above1%
66
7,370 or above1%
67
7,390 or above1%
68
7,395 or above1%
69
7,405 or above1%
70
7,410 or above1%
71
7,415 or above1%
72
7,440 or above1%
73
7,445 or above1%
74
7,480 or above1%
75
7,485 or above1%
76
7,490 or above1%
77
7,500 or above1%
78
7,530 or above1%
79
7,535 or above1%
80
7,540 or above1%
81
7,545 or above1%
82
7,555 or above1%
83
7,570 or above▼951%
84
7,630 or above1%
85
7,635 or above1%
86
7,680 or above▼701%
87
7,685 or above▼601%
88
7,690 or above1%
89
7,695 or above1%
90
7,705 or above▼491%
91
7,710 or above▼501%
92
7,735 or above1%
93
7,740 or above▼251%
94
7,745 or above▼221%
95
7,595 or above0%
96
7,615 or above0%
97
7,715 or above0%
98
7,720 or above0%
99
7,725 or above0%
100
7,730 or above0%
101
7,750 or above0%
102
7,755 or above0%
103
7,760 or above0%
104
7,765 or above0%
105
7,770 or above0%
106
7,775 or above0%
107
7,780 or above0%
108
7,785 or above0%
109
7,790 or above0%
110
7,795 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2393%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,789). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,255 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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