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S&P price on Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST?

Live Kalshi odds · 120 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,225 or above99%
2
7,320 or above93%
3
7,315 or above86%
4
7,370 or above63%
5
7,430 or above53%
6
7,425 or above51%
7
7,475 or above37%
8
7,480 or above12%
9
7,780 or above1%
10
7,230 or above0%
11
7,235 or above0%
12
7,240 or above0%
13
7,245 or above0%
14
7,250 or above0%
15
7,255 or above0%
16
7,260 or above0%
17
7,265 or above0%
18
7,270 or above0%
19
7,275 or above0%
20
7,280 or above0%
21
7,285 or above0%
22
7,290 or above0%
23
7,295 or above0%
24
7,300 or above0%
25
7,305 or above0%
26
7,310 or above0%
27
7,325 or above0%
28
7,330 or above0%
29
7,335 or above0%
30
7,340 or above0%
31
7,345 or above0%
32
7,350 or above0%
33
7,355 or above0%
34
7,360 or above0%
35
7,365 or above0%
36
7,375 or above0%
37
7,380 or above0%
38
7,385 or above0%
39
7,390 or above0%
40
7,395 or above0%
41
7,400 or above0%
42
7,405 or above0%
43
7,410 or above0%
44
7,415 or above0%
45
7,420 or above0%
46
7,435 or above0%
47
7,440 or above0%
48
7,445 or above0%
49
7,450 or above0%
50
7,455 or above0%
51
7,460 or above0%
52
7,465 or above0%
53
7,470 or above0%
54
7,485 or above0%
55
7,490 or above0%
56
7,495 or above0%
57
7,500 or above0%
58
7,505 or above0%
59
7,510 or above0%
60
7,515 or above0%
61
7,520 or above0%
62
7,525 or above0%
63
7,530 or above0%
64
7,535 or above0%
65
7,540 or above0%
66
7,545 or above0%
67
7,550 or above0%
68
7,555 or above0%
69
7,560 or above0%
70
7,565 or above0%
71
7,570 or above0%
72
7,575 or above0%
73
7,580 or above0%
74
7,585 or above0%
75
7,590 or above0%
76
7,595 or above0%
77
7,600 or above0%
78
7,605 or above0%
79
7,610 or above0%
80
7,615 or above0%
81
7,620 or above0%
82
7,625 or above0%
83
7,630 or above0%
84
7,635 or above0%
85
7,640 or above0%
86
7,645 or above0%
87
7,650 or above0%
88
7,655 or above0%
89
7,660 or above0%
90
7,665 or above0%
91
7,670 or above0%
92
7,675 or above0%
93
7,680 or above0%
94
7,685 or above0%
95
7,690 or above0%
96
7,695 or above0%
97
7,700 or above0%
98
7,705 or above0%
99
7,710 or above0%
100
7,715 or above0%
101
7,720 or above0%
102
7,725 or above0%
103
7,730 or above0%
104
7,735 or above0%
105
7,740 or above0%
106
7,745 or above0%
107
7,750 or above0%
108
7,755 or above0%
109
7,760 or above0%
110
7,765 or above0%
111
7,770 or above0%
112
7,775 or above0%
113
7,785 or above0%
114
7,790 or above0%
115
7,795 or above0%
116
7,800 or above0%
117
7,805 or above0%
118
7,810 or above0%
119
7,815 or above0%
120
7,820 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 495%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,792). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,225 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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