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S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼48Biggest move: 7,825 or above down to 1% recently.
1
7,780 or above▲2499%
2
7,785 or above99%
3
7,790 or above99%
4
7,795 or above▲1699%
5
7,800 or above99%
6
7,805 or above99%
7
7,755 or above98%
8
7,775 or above▲1598%
9
7,765 or above82%
10
7,810 or above32%
11
7,845 or above4%
12
7,875 or above▼34%
13
7,880 or above4%
14
7,885 or above4%
15
7,865 or above2%
16
7,870 or above2%
17
7,815 or above▼371%
18
7,820 or above▼471%
19
7,825 or above▼481%
20
7,830 or above1%
21
7,835 or above▼371%
22
7,840 or above1%
23
7,850 or above▼191%
24
7,855 or above1%
25
7,860 or above1%
26
7,600 or above0%
27
7,605 or above0%
28
7,610 or above0%
29
7,615 or above0%
30
7,620 or above0%
31
7,625 or above0%
32
7,630 or above0%
33
7,635 or above0%
34
7,640 or above0%
35
7,645 or above0%
36
7,650 or above0%
37
7,655 or above0%
38
7,660 or above0%
39
7,665 or above0%
40
7,670 or above0%
41
7,675 or above0%
42
7,680 or above0%
43
7,685 or above0%
44
7,690 or above0%
45
7,695 or above0%
46
7,700 or above0%
47
7,705 or above0%
48
7,710 or above0%
49
7,715 or above0%
50
7,720 or above0%
51
7,725 or above0%
52
7,730 or above0%
53
7,735 or above0%
54
7,740 or above0%
55
7,745 or above0%
56
7,750 or above0%
57
7,760 or above0%
58
7,770 or above0%
59
7,890 or above0%
60
7,895 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 933%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,513). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,780 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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